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Studies in machines that read markets

Nacho Planas

Software engineer and economist in Barcelona. I research markets, manage an options portfolio and write about both. Every tool I need starts here as a rough drawing, then becomes a working machine.

A mechanical arm on a notebook page, sketched in pencil at the hand, turns into brushed metal and opens a pair of brass dividers from the low of a price chart to its peak.
fig. α · measuring the trade, low to peak

Folio i

Machines

Current work, drawn as plates. Hover one to watch the sketch become the machine.

all machines →

Earlier machines

Folio ii

Writings

Long essays on the AI build-out and the businesses underneath it, plus shorter notes on options, catalysts and trades.

all writings →
  1. Featured · 68-min readThe AI money loop: who funds whom, and where it's crackingNvidia invests in the labs that buy its chips, the labs sign contracts with clouds that borrow to build for them, and the clouds rent capacity back to Nvidia. I followed the money through every filing I could find: what is cash, what is contingent, where 2026's stress is landing, and why the 1999 comparison fits only half the story.read the essay →
  2. Featured · 43-min readThe AI supply chain adventure: How minerals become LLMsEvery answer a chatbot gives you has passed through a quartz mine, a Dutch light source, a Taiwanese packaging line, a Korean memory stack, a copper spine, a gas turbine and a training run that cost more than most companies are worth. Here is the whole chain, thirteen layers deep, with the companies that hold each one and what makes them hard to replace.read the essay →
  3. Featured · 33-min readCan AI ever build itself? A deeper look into autonomous AI researchIn September, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, one of the industry's most influential figures, called on governments to slow AI development, arguing that AI has begun to improve itself. I went through every source he cites. What recursive self-improvement means, what the evidence shows, what actually happened when thousands of AI agents breached Hugging Face, and why a slowdown serves the labs' interests beyond safety.read the essay →
  4. Featured · 33-min readMemory's Pizza economicsMemory chips get cheaper almost every year, and the companies that make them have swung from record profits to near-bankruptcy roughly once a decade for fifty years. This is the long version: what a bit physically is, why the business behaves like a street of pizzerias with $20 billion ovens, how dozens of makers became three, and what the AI boom has and hasn't changed.read the essay →

Latest notes

Folio iii

Research

Stock research and full long and short pitches, from thesis to catalysts to risk. 6 longs and 3 shorts, each one a downloadable deck.

open the research →

Folio vi

Correspondence

Ideas, work, or a trade you want to argue about.

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Work

  1. NaluFounder2026 – Present
  2. optionerdFounder2025 – Present
  3. YieldMaxCalcFounder2025 – Present
  4. WhyTheMoveFounder2025 – Present
  5. RevalooFounder2025 – Present
  6. LogoHubFounder2023 – Present
  7. AsyncHiredBackend Software Engineer2023 – Present
  8. FinSmartFull-stack Software Engineer2022 – Present
  9. Catalyst ScreenerSoftware developer2021 – Present
  10. GO BuildingsFull-stack Software Engineer2018 – 2023
Download résumé (PDF)